Xiao Jinzi s practical notes on playing football lottery on September 12th
9:26pm, 12 September 2025Football
Hi, friends of football fans and basketball fans, have a happy Friday! This is Xiao Jinzi's playing football, accompanying you in the feast of the actual lottery competition. Xiao Jinzi Kanqiu has many years of experience in sharing football matches and exchanging data in the basketball league. Today, I will take this opportunity to focus on the following games~ Analysis of the game between Leverkusen in the Bundesliga against Frankfurt
Bundesliga
Recent status and strength
-Leverkusen: The situation has been very popular recently, and he has remained unbeaten in many consecutive league rounds. His average ball possession rate has reached 62% in the last five league rounds, and his offensive end has blossomed, and his midfield control is strong. He has excellent home game ability and shows extremely high efficiency on both offense and defense. He averaged 2.1 goals per game, conceded only 0.7 goals, and the defense line is relatively stable, showing a balanced and powerful overall situation.
- Frankfurt: The performance has been slightly ups and downs recently. Although he has shown tenacious fighting spirit and excellent counterattack ability in some games, his overall stability is insufficient, especially when playing away games, the problems on the defensive end are exposed. He has only achieved 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last five away games, and has conceded as much as 1.7 goals per game. However, it is still threatening on the offensive end, especially the efficiency of set pieces and counterattacks.
Tactical Features
- Leverkusen: Known for its fast and flexible offensive style, it focuses on a 4-3-3 formation, creating scoring opportunities through rapid transmission of the midfield and breakthroughs on the wing. Its tactical system emphasizes the use of space and seamless connection between players. The defensive end adopts a high-pressing strategy, and through the tight pressing of the frontcourt trio, the opponent makes a mistake in the backcourt. Once the ball is intercepted, a three-to-two situation can be formed in an instant, but the defensive end also has the problem of insufficient return speed on the side.
- Frankfurt: He tends to rely on physical confrontation and direct long passes to create threats, focusing on "defensive counterattack + set piece tactics", often adopting a 5-4-1 defensive formation in the away game, using the three-center-back system to limit opponents' breakthroughs on the side, and at the same time, he cuts off the mid-way pass route. The offensive end relies too much on crosses from the wing and lacks the diversity of penetration in the middle, but in the set piece tactics, the central defender group with obvious height advantages may become the key to breaking the situation.
Historical confrontations
In the last 5 Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen has the upper hand with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with all three home games. Frankfurt’s last home win at Leverkusen dates back to 2019, and is at a psychological disadvantage. In the first leg of this season, Leverkusen narrowly won 2-1 away, and the pace of the game was completely controlled by the home team.
Personnel injury situation
- Leverkusen: The main lineup is relatively neat, and only the substitute winger Adrie is suspected of playing due to muscle fatigue, which has limited impact on the overall tactics. The core player Tang Anlu has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in all competitions in the new season, and is in a hot state and is a key figure on the offensive end.
- Frankfurt: The core map tower of the back defense has suspended yellow cards, and its lack of experience in substitute players may become a hidden danger; the core Gotze of the midfielder is absent due to a calf injury, and the offensive organization may be affected.
Game prediction
Comprehensive factors such as the tactical characteristics of both sides, recent status, historical confrontation and personnel situation, Leverkusen has a certain advantage at home and is even more optimistic about winning, but Frankfurt's defensive resilience and counterattack ability should not be underestimated, and there is hope to steal 1 point through set pieces and counterattacks. The score may be 1-1 or 2-1 Frankfurt in Leverkusen. Analysis of the match between Maastricht and Kanbur in the last 6 games
Dutch two sides have recently achieved state and performance
-Maastricht: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 6 games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 6 goals, with a winning rate of 33%. He drew 0-0 with the Ajax Youth Team in the last round, and scored 4 points in the last two rounds, and is currently ranked 14th in the standings. However, he scored only 1 goal in the first four rounds, making him the team with the least goals in the Dutch second grade, and insufficient offensive firepower is its main problem.
- Kampul: He has won 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 games, scoring 10 goals and conceding 6 goals, with a winning rate of 67%. He drew 2-2 with William II at home in the last round, ending his previous three consecutive wins, but he was unbeaten in the past 4 rounds, scoring 10 points, ranking second in the standings, leaving the leader Eindhoven youth team with only two points, showing strong ability to grab points.
Historical Confrontation
- In the last 11 confrontations, Maastricht has drawn 2 and lost 9, and is at an absolute disadvantage. He lost all of his last four matches, and lost 0 to 1 in the last two. In the seven games at home against Kampul, he only got 4 draws and 3 losses.
Tactical Features
- Maastricht: The offensive end relies on crosses and set pieces on the wing, with weak penetration and long-range shooting capabilities in the middle, with an average ball possession rate of 53%, but the shooting conversion rate is only 11%. The number of goals conceded per game on the defensive end is controlled within a reasonable range, but when facing a speed striker, the air defense is easily exposed.
- Kampul: Known for efficient counterattacks, he averaged 1.5 goals with just 9 shots per game. The counterattack speed ranks among the top three in the Dutch second grade, creating murderous intent through quick transmission and flexible running of frontcourt players. The defensive system is mainly regional joint defense and has strong interception capabilities in the midfield, but the defensive intensity will drop by 15% during away games.
Home and away performance
- Maastricht: He has achieved 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in his last 6 home games, scored 10 goals and conceded 3 goals, with a winning rate of 67%, and has a certain combat effectiveness at home.
- Kampur: He has won 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in his last 6 away games, scored 9 goals and conceded 8 goals, with a winning rate of 50%, and his away performance is relatively stable.
Match prediction
- Overall, Kampul has an advantage in overall strength, has excellent condition recently, has obvious psychological advantages in historical confrontations, and has a high probability of winning.. However, Maastricht has a certain advantage at home, and Kampul's away defense has declined. This game may be a close match. Kampul is expected to be 2-1 or 3-1 Maastricht.
English Championship Ipswich vs. Sheffield United analysis:
English Championship
Recent status and strength of both sides
-Ipswich: The performance of the new season was average, with 3 draws and 1 loss in the first 4 rounds, with a certain vitality on the offensive end, and averaging 1 goal per game in the last 4 league games. Recently, he drew 2-2 with Derby County at home, showing some resilience. In terms of lineup, main forwards Connor Chaplin, George Hurst and Jaden Phillogan all have the ability to score goals, and midfielders A. Matuswa and Scargast are responsible for sorting out the offensive and defensive conversions. The defense is centered on Davis, Greaves and O'Shea, and goalkeeper Alex Palmer has good stability. However, the team's offensive efficiency still needs to be improved, and there are problems of set ball loopholes on the defensive end and untimely return to defense on the wing.
- Sheffield United: He suffered four consecutive losses in the new season, lacking offensive end and many loopholes on the defensive end. He only scored 1 goal in the first 4 rounds but conceded 7 goals. The team's away performance was particularly sluggish, losing all of its last three away games and only scored 1 goal. In terms of lineup, the forwards rely on Tyres Campbell and Louis Barry, the midfield is organized by Callum O'Hare, Saidi Peck and G. Hammer, and the defense is led by Ben Godfrey, Tanganga and Taylor Binden, and goalkeeper Michael Cooper is under great pressure. There are no obvious injuries at present, but the overall morale and condition are at a low point.
Tactical Features
- Ipswich: This season, with "high-level compression + fast conversion" as the core tactics, and although the average ball possession rate is only ranked in the middle of the league (52%), through the flexible running of the frontcourt trio, the third most counterattack opportunity in the league (8.2 per game). When he played at home, his crossing success rate on the wing was as high as 38%, and his efficiency in using set pieces ranked among the top four, which will become a key weapon to break through Sheffield United's intensive defense.
- Sheffield United: Continuing the tough style of British football, mainly focusing on the "three central defenders system + long passes and rushing", ranking second in the league in the number of successful tops (21.3 times) and interceptions (15.7 times). However, the team has recently exposed the problem of insufficient creativity on the offensive end. They have only scored 3 goals through set balls in the past five rounds, and the sports game goals account for less than 40%. In this away game, how to solve Ipswich's rapid return to defense system will be the primary problem faced by the coach.
Injuries and suspension
- Ipswich: In terms of injury, Townsend (back) and Burns (forward) were injured, and the main midfielder Morse had a cumulative yellow card suspension. Although substitute player Harrison can fill the position, there is a gap between experience and the intensity of confrontation.
- Sheffield United: In terms of injuries, Shackleton (back) is absent, main wingback Stevens is absent due to a hamstring strain, and substitute wingback Bowdock's offense and defense balance is not as good as the former. However, the team's core striker McBoene has released the ban and returned, and his fulcrum and sense of smell in front of the goal will become the key to breaking the situation.
Historical Confrontation
- In the last 4 matches, Ipswich has a slight disadvantage in 2 draws and 2 losses, but his home record is 1 win and 2 draws and remains unbeaten.
Match prediction
-In general, Ipswich has the advantage in home momentum and offensive firepower, but the defensive hidden dangers may be exploited by Sheffield United's counterattack. If Sheffield United continues to defend steadily and seizes the opportunity to set the ball, it is expected to score away points. The game is expected to be in a stalemate. The two sides mainly targeted testing in the first half. After physical fitness declines in the second half, Sheffield United's counterattack efficiency may be improved. The score may be Ipswich 1-1 Sheffield United, or Ipswich 2-1 Sheffield United.
Dear friends, due to limited space, Xiao Jinzi's commentary on the actual sports lottery game will end here. If you like this article, please like it and support it. Xiao Jinzi sincerely hopes that you will join and accompany you in the feast of the actual sports competition. I look forward to seeing you next time~
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