Opta Supercomputer predicts the new Premier League season: Reds will defend their title, Manchester United is only 12th in rebuilding

According to the "supercomputer" forecast by British data agency Opta, Liverpool will successfully defend the Premier League champion in the 2025/26 season. This is their third Premier League win and the second consecutive year of crowning under Dutch coach Arnold Slott.

data shows that Liverpool currently has a 28.5% chance of winning the Premier League, leading all other opponents. Supporting this prediction is the Reds' big signings in the summer window:

Hugo Ekitic: Transfer fee 79 million pounds

Florian Werz: Transfer fee 116 million pounds

Milos Kerkz: Transfer fee 40 million pounds

Jeremy Flynnon: Transfer fee 29.5 million pounds

Giorgi Mamaldashvili: Transfer fee 29 million pounds

In addition, Liverpool still pays close attention to Newcastle core striker Alexander Isak. It is reported that the Swedish striker has informed Newcastle that he is interested in leaving the team, but his value is expected to exceed £100 million. The Gunners and Blue Moon are closely behind, and the road to defending the title is not easy

Opta Supercomputer predicts that Arsenal will be Liverpool's main championship rival, with a 24.2% chance of winning, and is expected to strive for its first league championship since 2004. Manchester City was named the third favorite with an 18.8% chance of winning the championship.

What is more interesting is that "first place" among the top three is still the most likely ranking:

Liverpool: The probability of second place is 19.5%, the probability of third place is 14.2%

Arsenal: The probability of second place is 18.7%, the probability of third place is 14.7%

Manchester City: The second place is 17.3%, and the third place is 14.1%

Champions League seat competition: Chelsea is fourth, Villa enters the top five

If the final prediction comes true, the top four of the new season will be the same as last season: Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, and Chelsea. The Blues are predicted to rank fourth under the leadership of new coach Enzo Maresca, with the probability of winning:

Championship probability: 8.4%

Runner-up probability: 10.4%

Third-place probability: 10.6%

Fourth place probability: 10.9%

In terms of Champions League qualification, the total probability of the three strong teams qualifying for the Champions League are:

Liverpool: 72.7%

Arsenal: 68.5%

Manchester City: 62%

If the Premier League wins the fifth Champions League seat (based on the overall performance points of the European Games), the probability of the three teams qualifying for the Champions League will also increase by 7.6%, 8.6% and 9.2% respectively.

The fifth-ranked favorite is Aston Villa (the probability of being shortlisted for the top five is 38.1%), followed by Newcastle sixth and Crystal Palace seventh, leading the traditional strong team Brighton.

Manchester United and Tottenham continue to be sluggish? The mid-level even has heavy pressure to relegate

Compared with the championship group, Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur's prediction results are shocking.

Despite Manchester United's performance in the preseason, Supercomputers still predict that they can only be ranked 12th. The Red Devils ranked only 15th in the previous season, and although they beat Tottenham in the Europa League final, their league performance was still bad.

Their probability distribution in the new season is as follows:

Enter the top five: 10.7%

Enter the top seven: 20.5%

Selected top half: 40.3%

Relegation probability: 11.1%

The same sluggish also include Tottenham Hotspur, and the new coach Thomas Frank has a great challenge in the first season since taking office. Tottenham is predicted to rank 14th:

Enter the top five: 9.2%

Enter the top seven: 18%

Selected top half: 35.9%

Relegation probability: 13.7%

Relegation area: The promoted team has become the hardest hit area, Sunderland is detrimental In terms of relegation, supercomputer predicts that the three promoted teams are most likely to be demoted:

Sunderland: The probability of relegation is as high as 66.4%, the most likely ranking is at the bottom (34.1%)

Leeds United: The probability of relegation is 48%

Burnley: The probability of relegation is 45.9%, predicted to rank 18th

It is worth noting that even the defending popular Manchester City has a slight probability of relegation - it is considered a "theoretical possibility" in the data model.

At a glance of other ranking forecasts:

8th to 10th: Bournemouth, Brentford, Nottingham Forest

11th to 13th: Nottingham Forest, Manchester United, Everton

44th to 16th: Tottenham, Fulham, West Ham

7th (last safety seat): Wolves

Summary:

This Opta supercomputer's prediction provides an interesting and systematic outlook for the new season of the Premier League. Liverpool has become a favorite to defend the title, while traditional giants Manchester United and Tottenham are still in the mid-stream quagmire and even pressure to relegate. The promoted team is under great pressure, while "non-traditional strong teams" such as Villa and Crystal Palace are optimistic that they will continue to disrupt the situation.

Are you optimistic about this prediction? Who will become the dark horse in reality?