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[Preview] Is Real Madrid in a difficult position in the expedition? Can Mourinho train the Blues?

6:33pm, 30 September 2025Football

Sports Weekly All Media Report

The second stage of the Champions League tonight will be played, with a total of 9 matches being staged, and many traditional strong teams including Real Madrid, Bayern, Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan will be on the stage again. However, overall, there was no highlight of the strong dialogue between the two sides with the same magnitude in the 9 games, but more of a "clear strength and weakness". Therefore, most of the results of the competition deduced by Opta simulation are "one-sided". There are two games where the probability of winning of a strong team exceeding 70%, and 5 games where the number below 70% or more is more than 50%. The closest match with the chance of winning is Bode Shine (32.3%) at home vs. Tottenham (43.6%), which must have taken into account the fact that the Norwegian team has a "devil's home court". But it is worth mentioning that Tottenham had a double home and away victory over Bode in the semi-finals of the Europa League last season. They were not going away at the time in the cold season, and the temperature in Bode has not dropped too low yet.

Speaking of the home advantage of weak teams, Kazakhstan champion Almaty Keira must have some. Their geographical location is too far from those Western European football powers. If they are visiting, the hard work of the boat will inevitably be a lot of money. So guess if Real Madrid, who wants to fly more than 6,000 kilometers to go away, will capsize in the gutter? In particular, they also brought the bad luck of losing to Atletico Madrid 2-5 last weekend. Some people are definitely waiting to see jokes, such as former Russian international Arshavin who recently publicly stated that "I feel relieved every time Real Madrid fails." But Supercomputers don't really believe that Real Madrid can lose points. The simulated Real Madrid win rate is as high as 82.1%, while the probability of draw and losing is only 10% and 7.9% respectively.

In terms of topic, there is actually a very special contest tonight: Chelsea faces Benfica, Mourinho returns to the Champions League and Stamford Bridge. Before the game, Mourinho talked about being the "Chelsea's best coach". So can he teach "Ma Hi", who has drawn 1 and lost 3 in recent competitions, and only won 1 (League Cup) and 1 win, how should he lead the team? To be honest, Chelsea has been suffering from internal and external troubles recently. Not only is the long list of injury rosters, but the core Palmer and a bunch of central defenders can't play, but they also have to worry about the Premier League being at home against Liverpool at the weekend. But what is interesting is that Benfica is obviously weak under the supercomputer evaluation, with a winning probability of only 21.1% less than half of Chelsea (56.8%). Is this because the Portuguese Super League team lost to Karabach in the first round? Of course, the Cyber ​​fortune-telling is a pleasure to tell fortunes, which definitely does not represent the real result.

Wednesday morning match:

00:45 Atlanta vs. Bruges

00:45 Almaty Keirat vs. Real Madrid

03:00 Chelsea vs. Benfica

03:00 Atletico Madrid vs. Frankfurt

03:00 Bode shines vs. Tottenham Hotspur

03:00 Inter Milan vs. Prague Slavia

03:00 Marseille vs. Ajax

03:00 Paphos vs. Bayern Munich

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