Lao Min s football match analysis on August 27: Champions League life and death match Benfica vs Fenerbahce, Copenhagen advances to the Champions League main match?

[Wednesday 005] Copenhagen vs Basel

Copenhagen regained the Danish Super League championship with one point advantage last season and once again appeared on the Champions League stage. In the first two laps of the qualifying round, Copenhagen eliminated Gnelane and RBS powerhouse Malmo respectively, and shook hands with Basel 1-1 in the first leg of the playoffs. The two teams are currently on the same starting line. Last Sunday, Copenhagen faced Odense, with defender Pereira scoring a tie, helping the team to the top of the list. He has scored goals in the last two games. Pereira, who is in a hot state, will continue to start, which will be a key player to limit Shaqiri and others. Winter Akur and main midfielder Delaney were absent due to injury.

Basel won the 21st Swiss Super League championship in team history last season and returned to the top of the league after eight years. Meritorious coach Celestini left the team after the end of the season, and Magnin became the successor. Under his leadership, Basel achieved 2 wins and 2 losses in four rounds of the league in the new season, and overall performance was not good. After being tied by Copenhagen in the first leg, Basel has no league task and the players have enough rest time. However, Kevin Carlos, who contributed 14 goals last season, and 21-year-old forward Anton Card both left the team recently, and the threat of the forward line was greatly reduced. Ajeti was suspended after receiving two yellow cards in the first leg. Van Brie goal and Ruger were absent due to injury. Basel is likely to be at a visit this time.

The home team starts with -0.5 and -0.75. Referring to the first round of matchup data, the home team has given greater support. Currently, it is uniformly given to -0.75, showing strength more support. I decided to follow the trend and be optimistic about Copenhagen winning and advancing.

【Wednesday 007】 Benfica vs Fenerbahce

[Overview of both sides]

Benfica is one of the three giants in the Portuguese Super League. They are the non-five league teams with the most participation in the Champions League matches in recent years. This is also their business practice. They play in the Champions League every year, can show their own players and sell them to the top five giants in the five leagues at a high price. However, Benfica encountered tough problems in the Champions League playoffs this season. His opponent was Fenerbahce led by Mourinho. The two teams faced each other in the first leg, Benfica did not have an absolute advantage and scored 0:0.

[Special Reminder]

Benfica was last season's top 16 in the Champions League last season, and was eliminated by Barcelona in the 1/8 finals, and has rich experience in the Champions League.

[Psychological Error]

The market support rate for wins, draws and losses minus the corresponding result probability of each bonus, and the percentage obtained is the error value, which measures psychological error.

Win: -2%, draw: 6%, loss: -4%

[Data disassembly]

Benfica is a regular visitor in the Champions League, with rich experience and often qualifying in the group, and his image is much higher than that of Fenerbahce. This is also the reason why they can make deeper when they return to their home court. However, there are differences in the initial concessions of various institutions, and the cold wind and undercurrents. Combined with Fenerbahce, many top five league champions have gathered. Benfica is difficult to win in this game, and even unable to win.