Supercomputer predicts the Club World Cup: Manchester City is popular in Paris, Miami International s probability of winning the championship is only 0.3%

In the evaluation of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup knockout stage, Miami International was regarded by many data institutions as one of the least favored teams. According to the latest forecasts of data analysis companies, Miami International's probability of winning against Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) in the next round is only 16.8%, and their chances of reaching the final are as low as 1.3%, and the probability of winning is as low as 0.3%. This team participated as the host representative, but the overall strength was significantly different from that of European giants.

In the first round of the knockout round, Miami International will face the French Ligue 1 giants and Champions League champion Paris Saint-Germain. The latter is regarded as one of the most competitive teams to win the championship in this tournament, with a probability of winning the championship of 34.8%, just slightly lower than the Premier League leader Manchester City (35%).

Manchester City won all three games and advanced to the knockout stage, showing strong dominance, and is still the most optimistic champion favorite. Following the list are Inter Milan (25%), Bayern Munich (21.8%) and Chelsea (21.2%).

In contrast, if Miami International wants to go further, in addition to overcoming the disadvantages of lineup depth and tactical execution, it also has to face the practical problems such as the age of core players such as Messi and Busquets and other core players who are too old and have slow physical recovery.

In terms of South American teams, Brazil became the biggest winner, with four teams, Palmeiras, Botafogo, Fruminense and Flamengo, successfully advanced to the knockout stage. Among them, Fruminense will face Inter Milan in the next round.

And two representatives of Argentina, Boca Youth and River Plate, were eliminated early, failing to continue the style of the traditional powerhouse in South America.

European teams have an overall advantage

From the overall performance, European clubs have an absolute advantage in this competition. Of the 12 European teams participating in the group stage, 9 of them successfully advanced to the knockout stage, with only three teams Porto, Atletico Madrid and Red Bull Salzburg being eliminated.

In addition, European teams have an average winning rate of 61.1% in the group stage, and they also lead all continents with 2.03 goals per game. The most eye-catching game was Bayern Munich swept Auckland City 10-0, scoring 10 goals in a single game to set a new game record.

Although Messi's Miami International, where Messi is, carries the expectations of the host fans, their path to promotion is extremely difficult in the face of strong opponents. Although the probability of a 1.3% final is slim, for this team that is being rebuilt, being able to stand on the world stage is a breakthrough.