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Is the Premier League title race determined?

6:29pm, 31 October 2025Football

Is the overall situation of the Premier League championship determined? Only two weeks left to find out! Arsenal legend said: If Manchester City and Liverpool draw, the Gunners will easily win the championship

Currently, Arsenal tops the Premier League with 22 points, 4 points ahead of second-place Bournemouth and 5 points ahead of third-place Tottenham Hotspur. It has shown a clear lead in the standings.

Could it be that this season’s Premier League championship has already belonged to Arsenal in advance? Although the real test will come from the end of November to the end of the year, former Arsenal star Paul Merson made a bold prediction: the ownership of the Premier League championship may be decided within two weeks!

He said in an interview: "I said on September 19th that if Arsenal can get 4 points against Manchester City and Newcastle, they can win the league championship. And they did it! I still stick to my point of view. In fact, this championship battle may be decided in two weeks."

Merson further explained: "Before the international break, Arsenal will play against Burnley and Sunderland, and Liverpool will face Aston Villa and Manchester City. I predict that Arsenal will double their opponents, and Liverpool's two games, especially against Manchester City, are not guaranteed to win. If the 11th round of the "Double Red Club" between Manchester City and Liverpool ends in a draw, and both sides score 1 point, then Arsenal will easily lead and the road to the championship will be smooth."

Although the season is only a third of the way, the main opponents in the championship group are "overturning" one after another. Looking back at Arsenal, they won a complete victory in October and did not concede a goal in 9 games. Their form is perfect. If, as Merson expects, both Manchester City and Liverpool lose in direct dialogue, the points gap will widen further.

However, Arsenal’s schedule is not all smooth sailing. At the end of November, they will usher in the "North London Derby" with Tottenham and a strong dialogue with Chelsea, which will also be mixed with the key battle against Bayern Munich in the Champions League. Therefore, Merson's "two weeks to determine the championship" argument may be a bit too optimistic.

But it is undeniable that Arsenal's current defensive stability is amazing. Merson also mentioned an astonishing statistic: "I saw a crazy statistic recently: Even if all the shots Arsenal faced this season were converted into goals, they would still get 13 to 14 points! This data is simply incredible."

He continued: "People always compare the current Arsenal with the Chelsea coached by Mourinho (who only conceded 15 goals in the entire season). The difference is that Chelsea team West has maintained this defensive intensity throughout the season. Arsenal has only completed 9 games and still has three-quarters of the season to play. If they want to reach the level of Chelsea, they can only concede 4 goals in the next 9 games, which will be an incredible feat. "

The current situation is indeed extremely beneficial to Arsenal. Even if they cannot completely seal the victory within two weeks, as long as they can successfully get through November with the current momentum, then the dream of winning the Premier League championship trophy again after many years will become within reach.

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