Thunder X factor! In the first six games, can the tiebreak break out in Chet?

Everyone knows that the NBA Finals will usher in another tiebreak.

"The Finals tiebreaker" is nothing more crazy than this word, but objectively speaking, it is already unexpected that the finals can reach this point. After all, before the start, more fans thought that the Thunder would win the championship.

Take ESPN's prediction as an example. Among the 23 experts, 20 believe that the Thunder will win the championship, and among these 20, 10 chose the Thunder to win the championship in five games.

Then the question arises, why did the Thunder, which is 68 wins in the regular season, average net better than their opponents by 12.9 points per game, and seem to have a bigger win, be dragged into the tiebreak by the Pacers?

There are many reasons. There are only two aspects to summarize. The opponent plays well and he plays badly. As for the Thunder, there are indeed many players in this round that are not as expected, such as their third leader Chet Holmgren.

Take the G6 that ended before for example. Jewe's plus-minus value -40 in history is ignored. Chet also played an extremely bad performance, making 2 of 9 shots, 0 of 3 three-pointers, only scored 4 points and 6 rebounds, 0 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, and 2 turnovers.

And this is not the first time Chet played so badly in this round. Although the Thunder won the victory, Chet made 4 of 15 shots, 1 of 3 three-pointers, only scored 9 points, and had 3 mistakes.

Going forward to G1, the Thunder were reversed and defeated by the Pacers. No one except Caruso and Dort could stand up and share Alexander's offensive pressure. Chet was the same. He only made 2 of 9 shots in the game, scoring 6 points, 6 rebounds, 0 assists and 0 steals.

Chet also occasionally flashed, such as G4 14 points and 15 rebounds in a single game, and dragged his injured ankle to the court at the end and completed multiple defenses.

However, his performance is still disappointing in the entire series: 6 games, averaged only 11.3 points, 9.0 rebounds, 0.7 assists, 0.5 steals and 1.0 blocks per game, shooting percentage of 35.3%, 3-point shooting percentage of 11.8% (2 of 17 shots in total), and real shooting percentage of 44.5%. What is the roughly concept of

? After six games in the finals, Chet scored 24 of 68 goals in his sports game, with a shooting percentage of only 35.3%. This number is the lowest single-round finals for center players in NBA history (at least 50 sports games), and it has been recorded in history.

Of course, Chet also has highlights. His defense is indeed reliable. He averaged 15.9 shots per game in the finals, and his opponent's shooting percentage dropped by 7.2%, including 3-pointers falling by 7.8%, and 10 feet in the inside line fell by 10.8%.

Specifically for the matchup, although Chet's own offense was poor, Turner, who had the most matchups against him, did not play either. In his 150 rounds to defend Turner, Turner only made 8 of 23 shots, scoring only 22 points.

In addition, Chet also faced Siakam for 42 rounds. It seemed that Sika, who could be misplaced by anyone, did not gain any advantage. She made a total of 7 of 18 shots, only scored 16 points, 0 assists, and had 4 mistakes.

Pacers' outside group, Halliburton made 6 of 12 against Chett, but was defended for 4 assists and made 3 mistakes. In addition, Nesmith made 2 of 9 against Chett, McConnell made 1 of 7 against Chett, and Mathering made 3 of 8 against Chett, which all show that Chett's big defense is really good. In terms of data, since the Finals, Chett is the only one with positive and negative values ​​of the Thunder, and it has reached +24. The on/off data can directly show how strong his defensive influence is:

-When he was on the court, the Thunder lost only 101.6 points in 100 rounds, and 4.9 points in 2}

-When he was not on the court, the Thunder lost 115.6 points in 100 rounds, and 5.5 points in 2}

, but the problem is also obvious. Chett's offense is too loose. As a comparison, before entering the finals, Chett averaged 16.4 points, shooting percentage of 48.9%, and three-point shooting percentage of 33.3%. Although it is not accurate, it is better than 2 of 17 shots.

Chet actually has the ability to dominate the ball. He can see him get a one-stop layup in the backcourt many times in the playoffs, but because of his thin body and poor confrontation ability, his finishing efficiency is not very good.

Especially when facing Turner, he made 9 of 34 shots, 0 of 7 three-pointers, and only scored 22 points - neither of them could get the advantage of the opponent, but Chet was even more exaggerated, and even a three-pointer shot could be knocked off by Turner. How to improve the speed of three-point shots will be the key to continuing to make progress in the future.

Only talk about the present. As we said, Chet's defense is still reliable, but the offense is too sluggish. The combined 24 shots in the past two games is obviously not his normal level. If you want to win the tiebreak, you must recover.

It's great to be able to reach the finals in the third grade (actually the second year), but no one likes to leave regrets or not. In fact, many times you can't predict when the next final will be, such as the Thunder in 2012. Who would have thought that it would become Westbrook and Harden's only finals so far?

Every finals tiebreak will be recorded in history. As for what identity he is remembered, I hope Chet and all the players on both sides will fight for a sigh of relief.