Thunder s 3-minute "escape from death" scored 2-2, historical data proved that the Thunder s chances of winning the championship are extremely high

In the 4th game of the NBA Finals ending today, the Thunder challenged the Pacers away. In the last 3 minutes of the game, the Thunder made a small climax, allowing the Pacers to only score 1 point, complete the reversal, and won 111-104, tying the big score to 2-2.

Before this game, the Thunder fell behind 1-2, and once they lost, they were 1-3 and almost missed the championship. Therefore, this game was a life-and-death battle for the Thunder, and it was a away game, which was very difficult.

In the end, the Thunder escaped from death, stole a victory, and chased the big score to 2-2, which means that the series has become 3 games and 2 wins, while the Thunder has 2 home games, and the advantage returns to the Thunder.

How important is this game?

If the Thunder loses, they will fall behind 1-3. Unless a special situation occurs, they will definitely be eliminated. If the Thunder wins and the score is 2-2, it will be completely different!

And, judging from historical data, the probability of the Thunder winning the championship is very high.

In the entire 21st century, in the NBA Finals, in the case of the Thunder, there were 3 teams that equalized the big score 2-2 away, and all of them won the championship, namely:

21-22 season, the Warriors won the championship 4-2.

The series was very similar to the Thunder VS Pacers. The Warriors' first game at home failed. The Celtics got a good start 1-0. Then both sides defended one home court. The Celtics led 2-1 and played the Celtics at home in Game 4. In the end, the Warriors won the 4th game again and took the lead again, and defeated their opponents 4-2 to win the championship.

14-15 season, the Warriors won the championship 4-2.

is also similar to the same thing. The Warriors have a home advantage but fell behind 1-2 in the first three games. In the fourth game, they equalized the score by changing the lineup away. They also won three consecutive victories and won the championship by defeating the Cavaliers 4-2.

In the 12-13 season, the Heat won the championship 4-3.

The Heat formed the three giants of Wade, Bosh and James. They had a home advantage in the finals, but lagged behind the Spurs 1-3 in the first three games. In the end, they equalized the score away. Although they lost the Battle of Tianwang Mountain in the fifth game, Ray Allen's magical three-point saved the Heat's sixth game, and then the Heat won the championship with a tiebreak.

And the Thunder are the fourth team to have this situation. I wonder if they can win the championship? But judging from historical data, the probability of winning the championship is extremely high, and the Pacers have fallen into a passive position!

In addition, there are several teams that have no home advantage, which have also chased the series score from 1-2 to 2-2, but in this case the winning rate is not high, just 3 wins and 3 losses:

The Bucks won the championship 4-2 in the 20-21 season.

The Bucks had no home advantage and fell behind 0-2 away, chasing 2-2 at home, and eventually won 4 games in a row, beating the Suns 4-2 to win the championship.

05-06 season, the Heat won the championship 4-2.

is exactly the same as the Bucks. The Heat, which has no home advantage, won four consecutive games after 0-2 away and completed the reversal, defeating the Mavericks 4-2 to win the championship.

The Mavericks won the championship 4-2 in the 10-11 season.

Mavericks had no home advantage, trailed 1-2 in the first three games, tied the big score in the fourth game, and then won two consecutive games, defeating the Heat 4-2 to win the championship, completing revenge after 5 years. Wade could stop Wade in 2006, but in 2011 Wade was unable to turn things around.

09-10 season, the Celtics were eliminated 3-4.

The Celtics had no home advantage in the 09-10 season and fell behind 1-2 in the first three games, and once turned the score into 3-2 to overtake, but lost 2 games in the end and missed the championship.

04-05 season, the Pistons were eliminated 3-4.

The Pistons had no home advantage, and they chased from 0-2 to 2-2 and 3-3 to 3-3, but they still lost in the seventh game and unfortunately missed the championship 3-4.

02-03 season, the Nets were eliminated 2-4.

The Nets chased from 1-2 to 2-2, but they still lost 2 games in a row and were eliminated 2-4.

Generally speaking, the Thunder has regained the initiative, and the balance of victory in the series has turned to the Thunder. The Pacers' miracle is probably only one game left at most.