Judging from the current situation, it is very difficult for Curry to get 30,000 points in his career.

On June 2, Stephen Curry's career was already brilliant enough as one of the greatest shooters in NBA history. However, the discussion on whether he can break through the 30,000 mark has indeed attracted widespread attention from fans and the media. Curry's total score is currently 25,025 points (as of the 2024-25 season), and it is still 4,975 points away from 30,000 points. From a realistic perspective, this is indeed a very challenging goal.

First, we need to calculate the time and conditions required for Curry to achieve this milestone. Assuming Curry can stay healthy and play around 65 games each season in the future, and his average score is still at 25 points (this is his average career level), then he can contribute about 1,625 points per season. At this pace, it takes at least 3 full seasons to break through 30,000 points. Considering Curry will turn 37 at the start of the 2025-26 season, this means he needs to continue his high-level performance to around 40 - an extremely rare in NBA history, especially for defenders who rely on speed and agility.

Age and injury are the biggest obstacles to the library. Although Curry's shooting ability will remain high with age, his off-ball running, breakthroughs and defensive efficiency may be affected by a decline in physical function. In the past few seasons, Curry has suffered injuries in the ankle, hands and other parts. As he grows older, the frequency of injuries and the difficulty of recovery will only increase. In addition, the Warriors' lineup competitiveness will also affect Curry's scoring opportunities. If the team enters the reconstruction period, Curry may have to bear more offensive pressure, but this may accelerate his consumption.

From historical data, only 7 players in the NBA have exceeded 30,000 points, and most of them are forward or inside players (such as Jabbar, Malone, James, Nowitzki). The only defender player is Kobe Bryant, who has achieved this achievement, and Kobe's form has dropped sharply after he was 35 due to a serious Achilles tendon injury. Although Curry is good at shooting, he missed a large number of games due to an ankle injury in his early career, resulting in slow accumulation of total scores. After 2016, his attendance rate increased, but his time was no longer sufficient.

Another key factor is Curry's game style. He is not a scorer with a higher shooting style, and he averaged only 16.7 shots per game in his career, far lower than Durant (19.2) or Harden (16.8 and more free throws). The Warriors' system also emphasizes team basketball. Although this has extended Curry's peak period, it also limits the possibility of him scoring crazy points. If Curry deliberately pursues scoring records like James, it may be able to shorten the time to meet the standards, but this is contrary to his team-first basketball philosophy.

Of course, what makes Curry extraordinary is that he can always rewrite the game logic with three-pointers. If he can develop more efficient catch-and-shooting techniques, or transform into a pure shooter like Ray Allen later, it may be able to extend the score life. But even so, 30,000 still requires extraordinary durability. The more realistic expectation is that Curry is expected to surpass Reggie Miller (25279 points) and Jerry West (25192 points), and the final total score may remain around 28,000 points, which will consolidate his position as an all-time scorer without affecting his core legend of "epoch-making shooter".

From the perspective of fans' emotional perspective, we certainly hope to see Curry create more miracles. But rationally, 30,000 is not a necessary condition to define his greatness. His four championships, two MVP trophys, three-point record and the revolutionary influence of basketball style have long made him among the top ten discussions in history. Perhaps, appreciating every game of his remaining career is more meaningful than tangling with a specific number. After all, when Curry retired, what people remember was never a few points short of 30,000, but how he used one to make a very long three-pointer to redefine the possibility of basketball.