Does Jaylen Green still have a chance to become a star in the upper limit of Jordan and Kobe?
3:46am, 13 May 2025Basketball
The Houston Rockets were eliminated by the Golden State Warriors in the playoffs. They paid an expensive tuition for their youthfulness and lack of experience. Many young players in the Rockets have gained valuable growth experience in this round of the series, but some players have disappointed the fans. Among the most disappointed players in the first round of the playoffs selected by fans, Jaylen Green ranked first, and everyone pointed the Rockets' elimination at him. So what level is he at the moment? Today's Star Test will bring you the data analysis of Jaylen Green.
Among the top 100 league stars announced by the ringer website on April 16, Green ranked 82nd and ranked 4th among the Rockets. The Rockets ranked 1st Shen Jing (37th in the league), 2nd Amen Thompson (49th in the league), 3rd Van Vleet (65th in the league), 5th Tari Ethan (86th in the league), and 6th Dillon (90th in the league). The final comment on April 16 is as follows:
Green's influence on the Rockets remains to be seen. How can you blame a scoring champion of the second-place team in the Western Conference, and he is in the most impressive and stable offensive stage of his career? His shining points are still fascinating, and if the playoffs are as far out of reach as Green's first three seasons of his career, fans can continue to rely on his shining points to maintain hope, but the soon-to-be playoffs herald Green is the future of the league's youngest team. Can he score efficiently on the offensive end and make up for the Rockets' weak defensive rings on the defensive end? Houston is in desperate need of a stable pitcher, especially at a critical moment of the game. It would be of great significance if Green can stand up at a critical moment, but first, he needs to prove that he can not be kicked off.
Facts prove that Green was still kicked off in the playoffs. As the saying goes, the greater the expectations, the greater the disappointment. As a second-tier show, he carries the huge expectations of helping the Rockets revival. His reputation in the draft was "upper limit Jordan and Kobe Bryant", but after four seasons of hard work, his reputation has dropped to "upper limit Jordan and Poole, Kobe White". At the end of this year's playoffs, "upper and Kobe" was teased by fans as "upper and pulling down". In short, after the playoffs, Green's reputation fell to the bottom.
Green explained to reporters' long guns after being eliminated in G7: "This is my first playoff journey, but that doesn't make an excuse." To be fair, I look at Green's data from regular season and playoff stages.
In the regular season this season, Green played all 82 games. He is one of the only 11 players in the league. Among these 11 players, he averaged 33 minutes per game, only lower than Mikal Bridges of the New York Knicks' average of 37 minutes per game. In other words, he is one of the most dedicated workers in the league. This is not bad. Some netizens say that this attribute is very suitable for the New York Knicks.
averaged 21 points per game in the regular season, making him the Rockets' internal scoring leader, of which 54% of the inside scores, 46% of the three-point line scores, 63% of the independent scores, and 37% of the assisted scores. From the overall model, he is a ball-holding scorer with balanced internal and external scores.
In the playoffs, the proportion of inside scores dropped to 49%, the proportion of outside scores increased to 51%, the proportion of independent scores dropped to 53%, and the proportion of assisted scores increased to 47%, among which the independent scores dropped by 10 percentage points, which shows that his offensive efficiency was too low, and his independent attacking rights naturally decreased significantly.
Then we look at his regular season offensive efficiency and the decline in the playoffs.
Green is a speed-breaking defender. His excellent athleticism is one of the main reasons why everyone has high expectations for him. He has a total of 858 ball breakthroughs in the regular season and ranked 14th in the league. He has 433 breakthroughs in the attack box and 46.7% of the league. This shooting percentage can only be considered a general level in the league. Currently, the league's first-tier defenders Alexander and Brunson both have breakthrough shooting percentages of more than 55%, while Cunningham, Mitchell, Fox, and Garland can reach 50%-55%.
Green's breakthrough is purely based on athletic talent, lacking changes in rhythm changes, play style, and ball business thinking. The total number of blocked 106 times in the regular season is the league's blocked king. This is not a glorious data. The second in the league is Cunningham's 100 times.
The regular season breakthrough pass rate is only 30%. Among the top 50 defenders in the league, it is only higher than Maxi's 26.6% and Cunningham's 28.9%. The breakthrough assist rate of 5.7% is the lowest among the top 50 players in the league. This shows that the breakthrough task assigned by the coach is to focus on direct scores, with pass assists as supplemented by the support. The breakthrough error rate of 7.3% is a relatively high level. Currently, the breakthrough error rate of the top defenders in the league is at the 4%.
Comprehensive breakthrough data shows that Green's breakthrough efficiency has not grown to the star level, and there are many shortcomings.
In the seven playoff games, Green had a total of 60 balls, broke through the box, hitting 11 goals 31 times, with a shooting percentage of only 35.5%, the lowest among the Rockets' eight players with breakthroughs. Other players' shooting percentages were not lower than 40%, VanVleet's 47%, Thompson's 46.5%, Dillon's 44.5%, and even the big man Shin Kyung had 41.5%. Green did not make any mistakes in the playoffs, but was blocked 8 times, ranking 7th in the league. It can be seen that the breakthrough that was not efficient has become even more difficult in the playoffs..
After talking about the breakthrough, I looked at another scoring technical shooting. In the regular season, Green's personal three-point shooting with 392 three-point shootings, 124 shots, and only 31.6% of the shooting percentage was very poor. It was a very good level. It was a difference between individual ball holding and 3-point shooting with 269 shots. It was normal for him to have a gap between individual ball holding and 3-point shooting. After all, many of the ball receiving and shooting with catching are in an open shooting environment, but Green has a huge gap of nearly 10 percentage points. He is also an outside shooter. The salary and benefits of the ball holding scorer Curry and the ball receiving scorer Korver are very different. It is hard not to doubt that Green's ball holding and shooting with such a difference is difficult for him to get rid of the ball holding and solve the scoring ability to reach the star level.
Jordan and Kobe are a landmark scoring method - mid-range jump shots. Green is not proficient in it. He shot 247 mid-range shots in the regular season, and his shooting percentage is only 34% of the time, which is a very poor level. If you want to compete with the legend, this skill's shooting percentage must reach more than 45%.
made 336 free throws and hit 273 goals, with an 81% shooting percentage of the highest level in a four-year career, which is a good thing.
Then we look at the playoffs again. The individual made 23 three-pointers and shot 9 goals and hit 9 goals, which rose to 39%. This shooting percentage seemed good. In fact, it was more due to the only explosion of 8 of 18 shots in the second game of the playoffs. The shooting percentage was only 19%. This outrageous hit percentage could not trust him anymore.
10 shots in the middle distance, 20% of the shooting percentage, and 24 shots in free throws, 16 shots and 66% of the shooting percentage. In the playoffs, except for the hot hands in the second game, Green felt cold in all the other six games, and it can be said that he completely lost his confidence in shooting.
Many people wonder whether Green's playoffs are so bad, is the Golden State Warriors making a defensive tactic specifically targeting him? If this is the case, he can find a reason to relieve him. But in fact, the Warriors have not adopted any targeted defensive measures against Green at all, and the distribution of the Warriors against his defensive players can prove this.
Payton Jr. defends Green for about 15 minutes, Hilder defends Green for 14 minutes, Moody defends about 11 minutes, Pojemsky defends about 11 minutes, and Curry defends about 10 minutes. It should be said that the Warriors players completely split the defensive tasks. Players such as Hilder and Curry are relatively poor in defense. Green failed to seize the opportunity. A netizen's evaluation was very sharp: "The great thing about Green is that he does not pick on defenders, and he will not score goals without differences."
If a player is in trouble on the offensive end, he can only make more contributions on the defensive end. The opponent averages 11.3 shots in front of Greene, with a shooting percentage of 5.3 goals per game in the regular season, with a shooting percentage of 47%. The opponent's average shooting percentage increases by 1 percentage point under his defense. It can be said that Green is not a defensive player.
In the playoff stage, the opponent still averaged 11.4 shots in front of him, and his shooting percentage dropped to 35%. The opponent's shooting percentage dropped by 9 percentage points on his defense. His main defensive tasks were:
Defense Hilder for 20 minutes, Hilder hits 44.4%
Defense Podjemsky for 16 minutes, Podger hits 33.3%
Defense Curry for 11 minutes, Curry hits 34.6%
Defense Moody for 8 minutes, Moody's shooting percentage was 28.6%
Green did a good job in this round of series defense. If ten thousand people stabbed, he should be completely refrigerated on the bench.
Comprehensive overall data, Green's athletic talent is unquestionable, but how to combine talent and technology to efficiently transform it into the arena is a big problem. Green's breakthrough technology needs to continue to be polished, and ball-holding projection technology needs to improve stability and stress resistance.
Chinese netizens gave Green a very friendly nickname called "Brother Fengxue", because his highlight performance at the beginning of the season became the spokesperson for the poem "The wind and snow have been suppressing me for two or three years, and I laugh at the wind and snow and light and soft". However, after the playoffs, many people joked: The wind and snow have to suppress him for a few more years. He is like a tribulation stage in the game of cultivating immortals. He needs to go through various bottlenecks such as breakthroughs and elixirs. Only by going through the heavenly tribulation can you truly become an immortal. If you cannot make progress, you are destined to be a small character. I hope Green can pass the tribulation as soon as possible and become the appearance of people looking forward to the middle and upper jackals.
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