Break the historical record with a net difference of 122 points! Sweep 4-0 to advance, but if you play like this, the favorite to win the championship will be a cannon
3:00pm, 30 April 2025Basketball
This season's playoffs have started for more than a week, and compared with the past few seasons, this year's playoffs look a bit boring. First of all, the league does not have enough protection for each team and is repeatedly plotted against by role players. Secondly, the East and the West show two extremes: it is only a matter of time before the top four in the East enters the second round, and in addition to the first-place Thunder, the Rockets and Lakers are both behind 1-3 in the West, and the Nuggets are also dragged by the Clippers. The longer the time is, the more unfavorable it is for the Nuggets, because there are only 6 people who can play. Jokic plays for more than 42 minutes in each game, and he can't hold on for too long! The Western Conference is likely to achieve the situation of No. 5 seed + No. 6 seed + No. 7 seed promotion at the same time this season. In fact, it is not easy to play for the popular Thunder who won the championship.
If you want to say that the series with the biggest gap in the first round is not the Thunder sweeping the Grizzlies 4-0, but the series between the Cavaliers and the Heat. The same swept 4-0, and the Cavaliers beat the Heat in four games and scored 122 points! Statistics show that this is the largest difference in total score points in the NBA playoffs single-round series, setting a new historical record! Moreover, the Cavaliers have made enough data on the Heat. Average of 126.0 points + offensive efficiency 136.2 + three-point shooting number 19.3 + three-point shooting percentage 44% + shooting percentage 51.8%. When it comes to statistics on the offensive end, the Cavaliers are basically the best in the league! Judging from the predictions given by the US media "BR", the probability of the Cavaliers advancing to the Eastern Conference Final is 87.3%, the probability of winning the Eastern Conference championship is 53.4%, and the probability of winning the overall championship is 19.4%, second only to the Thunder.
But is the Knight really perfect? But from the offensive end, this is indeed the case. The team averaged 7 double-digit scores per game, Garland averaged 24 points per game, Mitchell averaged 23.8 points per game, Jerome and Mobley averaged 16.3 points per game, and Allen, Hunter and Struz were also stable firepower points. But there is another data that is even more embarrassing: facing the Heat, who is only tenth in the Eastern Conference in the regular season, the Cavaliers' two stars Mitchell + Garland played a total of 37 minutes together, and the Cavaliers lost 1.0 points in 100 rounds. Garland only played 2 games due to a toe injury. When he was absent, the team won 14.9 points in a hundred rounds when substitute Merrill partnered with Mitchell. Of course, the main premise of these data is to play against the weak competitive Heat.
To be honest, the Cavaliers did have the championship this season and have been stable at the top of the East since the start of the regular season. The team was also bullied by the Hawks, Celtics and Heat in November and December last year. The team's biggest weakness at that time was that there was no candidate for the No. 3 position. In addition to the two stars in the backcourt, Struce, Jerome, Merrill and Ocro have their main rotations, and are all about 1.95 meters tall, which is not even in line with the opponent's forward line. Before the trade deadline, the Cavaliers exchanged for the Hawks' sixth man, Hunter. Hunter's arrival was indeed immediate, with an average of 14.3 points and 4.2 rebounds per game in the regular season, and averaging 13 points and 3 rebounds per game in the playoffs. It has a height and confrontation, and the key three-pointer is too accurate!
, but it also involves another huge shortcoming, that is, both core guards are strong in offense and weak in defense. Last season's playoffs, the Cavaliers defeated the Magic 4-3 in the first round, but in the second round, they were eliminated 1-4 early. Mitchell was able to maintain a stable output in that round of the series, but Garland was targeted both ends of the offense and defense. Mitchell averaged 31.7 points per game in 3 games. After he fell down due to injury, the Cavaliers collapsed instantly. Mitchell and Garland are 1.85 meters tall, and the confrontation is seriously insufficient, which cannot be changed. However, if the time for one of these two people is reduced, the Knight's attack will not keep up, and the difference is where to choose to get beaten. More importantly, the Cavaliers have no limit on the Celtics' defensive resources.
Cavaliers have focused on playing badly and rebuilding since James left. After three years of accumulation, they have improved rapidly in the past four seasons. But after being promoted to the top of the Eastern Conference in the regular season, the playoff ceiling is not enough. Other opponents are not like the Heat, and they don’t even have decent scoring points. Secondly, the Cavaliers' team of four giants is not counted in this season. Garland has three years and 127 million max contracts left, Mitchell has three years and 158 million max contracts, Hunter has two years and 48 million max contracts, Allen has four years and 110 million US dollars, and Mobley has won the best defensive player of the season, and the original five years and 224 million max contracts have become five years and 270 million US dollars. Starting next season, the Cavaliers will also officially enter a 200 million-salary club.
But do they have the upper limit for winning the championship? The answer is no. Mitchell has the data brush attributes at the playoff level, which has surpassed many stars, but except for Mitchell, the data will shrink as the playoffs deepen. The key is that the double-star defense loophole in the backcourt cannot be changed. The team's overall height and confrontation are lacking, and the double tower combination will face more misalignment challenges. The regular season was smooth, and the first round of the playoffs was fully fired, but if they had to play like this, they would still become cannon fodder without solving the fundamental problem. Sometimes, it is not a good thing to be too smooth.
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